It is probably safe to say that the volume of medical office building (MOB) salesin the COVID-19 pandemic-ridden year of 2020 exceeded people’s expectations. After a lackluster 2Q and 3Q, sales rallied in 4Q, lifting the total volume for 2020 – despite the pandemic – to $11.5 billion and marking the sixth straight year in which sales topped the $11 billion threshold.
After finishing out 2020 with one of the strongest volume quarters in recent years, 2021 is off to a quiet start. $1.8B in MOB transactions closed in the first quarter, down from $3.3B in 1Q20 and in line with 1Q19. On a TTM basis, we are now running at just $10B in volume.
Medical Office (MOB) construction completions, which were near peak levels just one year ago have fallen to multi-year lows as of the 1st quarter of 2021. According to newly released Revista data, 18.6 million square feet (MSF) of MOB space completed in the year ending 1Q21.
While the amount of outpatient facilities started or completed during 2020 fell by about 9.7 percent from the previous year, the number of healthcare real estate projects taking place remains quite healthy
Occupancy has remained stable throughout 2020 and into 2021, but quarterly absorption reflects some level of negative impact, although short in duration, in the third quarter of last year. While the average each quarter for absorption in the top 50 markets has been around 3.2 million square feet, in 3Q20 that total fell to just 800K. Interestingly, this impact shows to a greater extent in the largest 10 markets.
Much has been made of private investors controlling the buying landscape in recent years. According to Revista, private investors have increased their share of overall MOB buying activity from 55% in 2019 to 69% in 2020 and 70% YTD in 2021.
Back in January, Revista reported that medical office building (MOB) sales had “preliminarily” totaled $10.2 billion in 2020.
Despite all the difficulties of the pandemic in 2020, medical office transaction activity still kept pace with previous years. Total sales volume cleared $11.2B and these top buyers represented almost half (46%) of that total.
Even though the professionals involved in MOBs correctly predicted that investor demand would remain strong for the product type during the COVID-19 pandemic, some involved in development expressed concern that construction numbers could fall as healthcare systems and providers would be forced to focus on a surge of patients instead of planning new projects.
Revista has posted the 4Q20 MOB Sector Quarterly Brief. Available for a limited time this report provides an executive level overview of supply, demand and rent fundamentals for the aggregate top 50 metros as well as the top 10 markets ranked by total square feet (SF).
Revista has updated its annual look at the size and scope of the health care real estate sector. This update measures the real estate size and value of general acute care hospitals and outpatient buildings across the contingent United States.
Healthcare Real Estate Insights and Revista have partnered to create the healthcare real estate industry's most comprehensive survey of outpatient medical construction activity. Revista will tabulate summary results which will be publicized and all survey respondents will be provided summary results including a comparison of how your firm compares to the summed results. Healthcare Real Estate Insights and Revista will also publish rankings.
Revista has posted a research paper titled “2021 The Off Camus Debate”. The research piece outlines the movement of healthcare towards off campus medical office buildings and provides analysis on an off campus group of MOBs
In the past, the lion's share of MOB development has been self developed by the hospital system or provider. In fact historically, third party development has only represented around a quarter of medical office square feet started. Since 2019, we've been seeing a shift in this dynamic with more and more projects moving forward with a developer/investor driving the project.
Despite some delays and postponements of projects during the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic, a group of executives with some of the leading healthcare real estate (HRE) development firms are saying things are picking.
Despite the challenges this year with COVID-19, medical office projects continue to break ground. Interestingly, the proportion of 3rd party developed projects starting is increasing as the year progresses.
Revista has posted the 2020 version of the top 50 owners of medical real estate to its subscriber website.
A lasting conversation among investors in the MOB sector has been the choice between On campus MOB investments and Off campus MOB investments.
The Medical Office Building (MOB) sector has shown its mettle through previous economic challenges. But with the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic and ensuing slowdown of elective surgeries and office visits many wondered if demand for MOB space would continue to move forward
In March, when most of the country shut down in order to slow the spread of COVID 19, when one needed to see the doctor, in many cases the only option was through a virtual visit. As of July, Telehealth was still representing 21% of all ambulatory visits. How will this affect physician and health system's ambulatory space needs? We asked in our October survey, and here is how you answered.
Late March through April saw the onset of the Covid-19 Pandemic which shutdown much of the US economy. The Physician Office and Medical Office Sectors, which had historically proved ultra-resilient to economic and other shocks was not immune to the pandemic related shutdowns.
The fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic has taken its toll on the country’s healthcare systems as well as the healthcare real estate (HRE) sector, even though the industry and property type continue to show resiliency.
Phoenix is an investor favorite for sure. While nationwide roughly 65% of medical office space is user owned, in Phoenix only 30% is user owned. A significant driver of this is how incredibly fast Phoenix is growing.
While the total MOB sales volume for Q2 has yet to be finalized, it is likely to show a significant decrease from previous quarters due to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
One of the drivers of the slowdown in activity is the volume of mortgage financing. Revista tracks recorded mortgage financing for the almost 50,000 medical office buildings in its database.
Please take our survey on the ongoing impact on leasing and property management from the Covid-19 pandemic. Please make all responses as relevant to your medical office buildings only. All submissions are..
Many economic signals rebounded in May of 2020. The equities markets, housing markets and overall employment markets all showed sharp pullbacks in March and April only to rebound sharply in May. Among the measures is Ambulatory Services employment.
A weekly running sum of medical office volume through April 2020 reveals that volume is slowing but that overall, total volume is still running ahead of 2019.
It looks as if the first quarter (1Q) might’ve been the calm before the storm when it comes to MOB sales.
In 2020, things are certainly changing a mile a minute. But let's take a look back to 2019 and the investors who most actively acquired MOBs. Welltower takes the title acquiring $2.2 billion throughout the year, followed by MB Real Estate, Montecito and Anchor Health Properties.
Based on planned projects, a slow down in starts in the beginning of this year was expected. But for those scheduled starts, even into March and April, projects moved forward with few exceptions. Projects scheduled to open, however, have a different story.
verall, the report shows little impact from the Covid-19 pandemic. The chart below shows key aggregate same-store year over year growth rates for key MOB metrics.
At a time when MOB sales have slowed considerably as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, it was reassuring to see a good-sized transaction take place in recent weeks.
Despite mounting stay-at-home orders and market turbulence throughout the month of March, medical office building sales ended the quarter up from a year ago. Want access to data as it happens? Subscribe to Revista to search building sales as soon as Revista Research enters them in our Transaction Comps tool.
Revista has developed 2 short surveys in response to the Covid-19 pandemic’s impact on your business. One survey is geared towards owners and managers of medical real estate and the other is geared towards investors and those involved in the investing in medical real estate.
Outpatient Starts rose significantly in 2019. See table below but 30.9 MSF was started in 2019 compared to 23.1 MSF in 2018 (an increase of 34%). Developers also gained a higher share of the starts activity in 2019.
A little over a month ago things were business as usual within the world of healthcare real estate. The Revista Medical Real Estate Investment Forum had just wrapped up with healthy growth in attendance and many attendees were speaking of another year ahead of continued growth in transaction volumes.
Through Q3 of 2019, there was some speculation about whether the total MOB sales volume for the year would top the $11 billion threshold for the fifth straight time.
With the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic this will be an important metric to track in 2020 and beyond. Take comfort in the fact that over previous cycles/downturns the rate held up remarkably well, especially when compared to other asset classes.
The big shift that everyone involved in healthcare and healthcare real estate (HRE) has been talking about for years upon years has finally taken place, at least on the real estate side of the equation.
Classic economic theories establish a clear relationship between supply and demand for many goods and services. In real estate circles the theory says that as prices rise, demand (or occupancy) should fall.
Last year 77 medical office projects started that will be over 100,000 square feet when completed. That's quite an uptick over previous years when we averaged less than 50.
The MOB Scene
December 17, 2019 Mike Hargrave
Single Property MOB Cap Rates Creeping Up
Overall, MOB cap rates have continued to remain at lower levels compared to just a few years ago. According to Revista’s 3rd Quarter, 2019 Medical Real Estate Transactions Report, the US MOB average cap rate 6.4% which was down slightly from 6.5% in 3Q18.
If you have seen Revista’s metro trends you may have noticed the Baltimore MOB market is one of the tightest in the country. The MOB occupancy rate has averaged between 93.9% and 94.8% since the 2nd quarter of 2018.
So much of the conversation in the industry right now is about placing medical services out into the community to be more convenient and cost effective for patients. But what is that community going to look like in 10 years? 20 years? Flexibility becomes the name of the game.
Let’s take a look at the Jacksonville market. At 7.7 million square feet (MSF), Jacksonville’s MOB market is the 36th largest market in the US based on total SF.
After a slow start to the year, medical office building (MOB) sales have picked up in the second and third quarters (Q2 and Q3), providing a very strong possibility that the final 2019 volume will top $10 billion for the fifth straight year.
It doesn’t look as if anyone is going to dethrone Oakland, Calif.-based Kaiser Permanente as the country’s largest owner of medical real estate anytime soon.
For the sixth consecutive year, Kaiser, a health insurer and provider with 8.6 million members in nine states, sat atop the annual “2018 Top 50 Owners of Medical Real Estate” report compiled by Revista, which gathers and provides a wide variety of healthcare real estate (HRE) data, statistics and reports for its subscribing members.
Taken together, the Hospital and MOB sector is valued at $1 Trillion
There are currently about 600 medical office projects under way across the country. More than 15 percent of those projects include orthopedics. Why do so many projects include this specialty?
Revista is thrilled to announce that Andrew Haslam, Chief Asset Officer for Providence St. Joseph’s Health System and Tom Errath, Director for Harrison Street Real Estate Capital will co-chair the 2020 Revista Medical Real Estate Investment Forum.
The country’s healthcare-focused REITs have always been, and are likely to continue to be, an important investor group in the medical office building (MOB) acquisitions sector.
While MOB transaction activity might have cooled somewhat and MOB construction remains steady, deliveries of hospital projects have been on a spike. Based on projects that have either opened or are scheduled to open by the end of the year, we will be adding roughly 35 million square feet to inventory in 2019.
There’s plenty of talk in the medical office building (MOB) sales sector that even though demand remains as high as ever for the product type, the volume has been quiet so far in 2019. Second quarter (Q2) and year-to-date MOB sales statistics compiled by healthcare real estate (HRE) data firm Revista, which provides a variety of HRE data to subscribers, confirm this notion.