2017 will have broken many records in terms of sales transaction activity in healthcare real estate, but it won’t in terms of new construction. Revista data is showing 3 consecutive years with a decrease in starts which is now also affecting total deliveries. Only 16.3M square feet was delivered in 2017, 15% less than the previous year's total of 19.3M.
Doctor visits will increase 217.6% faster than the population in Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and San Diego Counties. That’s according to an analysis prepared for the California Hospital, Outpatient Facilities & Medical Office Building Summit in Downtown Los Angeles on December 13.
Quick internet searches would tell you that the hospital sector is closing or shrinking due to growth in the outpatient sector. Revista data, however, paints a different picture of the hospital sector.
The Revista mid-year 2017 construction report says to expect 20.9 million square feet (SF) of MOB deliveries in 2018, which would be a rise of 10% over 2016’s 19.0 MSF delivered. And overall, 64% of the MOB expected deliveries in 2018 are expected to be off campus. That is up from 54% observed in 2014.
...although roughly 25% of inventory is investor owned nationally, the stats vary widely by metro. Some areas are predominantly owned by healthcare providers while other areas have a significant portion, sometimes majority, of the real estate owned by a third party - whether that be a REIT, institutional fund or private investor.
n 2013, the Healthcare REITs within the 2016 top owners report had funded roughly $0.5B worth of construction projects that were considered “in progress” at 12/31/2016. That $0.5B represented just 0.7% of their total gross real estate assets.
Revista has posted the Mid -2017 Top 50 Metro Rankings Report for Medical Real Estate to its subscriber portal.
The overall construction pipeline, comprised of Hospitals and Outpatient MOBs under construction and in late planning, stands at $104.4B..
Office-Meds can often present challenges for healthcare practices such as parking and access, among others. As such, the ratio of Office-Meds to MOBs can be an important stat to monitor market by market
...Verified started projects were down 18% in 2016 from 2015. 2017, at 18.9 million projected, has the potential to be at the same level or lower than 2016.